Lapeer County, MI

Home values #

Typical home $296,879 (Sep 2026), +4.5% over one year, +20.1% over five

• 69th pct · 926th of 3,063 US counties · median $230,451
• 82nd pct · 15th of 83 Michigan counties · median $225,043
• 60th pct · 3rd of 6 counties in the Detroit-Warren-Dearborn metro · median $282,176

Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.

Rents #

Typical rent $1,423/mo (Sep 2026), n/a over one year; price-to-rent 17.4

• 42nd pct · 779th of 1,358 US counties · median $1,506
• 64th pct · 15th of 40 Michigan counties · median $1,387
• 60th pct · 3rd of 6 counties in the Detroit-Warren-Dearborn metro · median $1,422

Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).

What the typical home costs to carry #

Principal and interest of $1,644 a month on $296,879 at 7.40%, against an average weekly wage worth $4,286 a month: 38.4% of one job’s pay.

• payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $296,879 × 80% = $237,503, r = 7.40%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-15), n = 360 → $1,644/mo principal and interest
• wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $989 × 52 / 12 = $4,286) = 38% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
• years of wages = $296,879 / ($989 × 52) = 5.8
• price-to-rent = $296,879 / ($1,423 × 12) = 17.4

The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.

Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.

Jobs & wages #

21,864 jobs at 1,764 employers (2026 Q1); +1.5% jobs and +0.5% average weekly wage over the year

• 72nd pct · 874th of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
• 69th pct · 26th of 83 Michigan counties · median 12,414
• 0th pct · 6th of 6 counties in the Detroit-Warren-Dearborn metro · median 196,279

BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.

Drought #

D0 abnormally dry

Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.

US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.

Reservoirs #

Surface water layer not loaded

Sites found: 0, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.

Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.

Stream gauges #

Surface water layer not loaded

Sites found: 0, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.

Groundwater #

No USGS monitoring wells within 75 km (or above 1,500 km)

Sites found: 0, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.

USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.

Water stress #

low (0.00)

Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.00 / 0.35

Banks & federal dollars #

$1.6 bn in deposits at 19 offices of 7 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 2,592, highly concentrated. $627.4 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $621.7 m, grants $5.4 m), $28,697 per covered job

Deposit concentration is 2,592 across 7 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.

HHI = Σ (share %)² over 7 banks with deposits in the county = 43.2² + 19.3² + 11.7² + … (4 more) = 2,592

FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.

Federal obligations #

That is $28,697 per covered job, against 21,864 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.

per job = FY2026 obligations $627.4 m / 21,864 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $28,697

USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.

National context, not this county #

These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.

The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.

What changed #

Lapeer County, MI: 12 findings, 2 at a watch level and 10 noted

1. watchLapeer County, MI's momentum index of 0.36 scores 68 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 35 across Michigan counties, a gap of 33 points.

   Period 2026-09.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 33 = |68 across US counties - 35 across Michigan counties|
   • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

2. watchLapeer County, MI's typical home value of +4.5% scores 70 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 38 across Michigan counties, a gap of 32 points.

   Period 2026-09.
   Show the arithmetic

   • 32 = |70 across US counties - 38 across Michigan counties|

   position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

3. noteLapeer County, MI's typical asking rent rose 1.9% from $1,396 in August 2026 to $1,423 in September 2026, on Zillow ZORI.

   Period 2026-09.
   Show the arithmetic

   • +1.9% = (1422.638888888889 - 1395.6356515019688) / 1395.6356515019688 × 100
   • 1422.638888888889 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-09
   • 1395.6356515019688 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08

4. noteLapeer County, MI's covered employment was 1.5% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • +1.5 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
   • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

5. noteLapeer County, MI's average weekly wage was 0.5% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

   Period 2026 Q1.
   Show the arithmetic

   • +0.5 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
   • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

   BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

Read all 12 findings in the full brief

Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.