Box Elder County, UT: 14 findings, 6 at a watch level and 8 noted

14 findings fired for Box Elder County, UT this run, against a typical home value of $445,062 in September 2026 and covered employment of 23,989 in 2026 Q1. 2 further findings are not listed here.

Rules version 1. Assembled 2026-10-19. Back to Box Elder County, UT.

12 findings #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

  1. watchBox Elder County, UT's price-to-rent ratio of 27.3 ranks 43rd of 1,358 US counties, a watch level here: price-to-rent in the top tenth of US counties (position among the counties that published both ZHVI and ZORI this month; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: priceToRent percentile = 96.90493736182756 >= 90
    • typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month

    position among the counties that published both ZHVI and ZORI this month; not an official level

  2. watchBox Elder County, UT's price-to-rent ratio is 27.3, a watch level here: typical home value worth 25 or more years of typical rent (typical home value / (typical rent × 12), Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: priceToRent = 27.298805756223615 >= 25
    • typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month

    typical home value / (typical rent × 12), Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  3. watchBox Elder County, UT's covered employment is -1.6% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -1.6 < 0

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level

  4. watchBox Elder County, UT's typical asking rent is -2.1% against the previous month, a watch level here: typical asking rent at least 1 percent below the previous month (arithmetic on the Zillow ZORI month columns; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: rent.momPct = -2.143012231506295 <= -1
    • month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns

    arithmetic on the Zillow ZORI month columns; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  5. watchBox Elder County, UT's years of wages of 6.8 scores 87 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 33 across Utah counties, a gap of 54 points.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 54 = |87 across US counties - 33 across Utah counties|
    • typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  6. watchBox Elder County, UT's typical home value of $445,062 scores 90 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 48 across Utah counties, a gap of 42 points.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 42 = |90 across US counties - 48 across Utah counties|

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  7. noteBox Elder County, UT's average weekly wage was 5.0% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • +5 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
    • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

  8. noteBox Elder County, UT's typical asking rent fell 2.1% from $1,388 in August 2026 to $1,359 in September 2026, on Zillow ZORI.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -2.1% = (1358.611111111111 - 1388.3639197287177) / 1388.3639197287177 × 100
    • 1358.611111111111 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-09
    • 1388.3639197287177 = Zillow ZORI, 2026-08

  9. noteBox Elder County, UT's covered employment was 1.6% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -1.6 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
    • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

  10. noteBox Elder County, UT's typical asking rent of $1,359 ranks 14th of 15 Utah counties, against a median of $1,741.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 7 on the 0-to-100 scale across 15 Utah counties that published rent.latest

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  11. noteBox Elder County, UT's typical home value of $445,062 ranks 299th of 3,063 US counties, against a median of $230,451.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 90 on the 0-to-100 scale across 3063 US counties that published home.latest

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  12. noteThe next Unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, monthly) covering Box Elder County, UT is due between 2026-10-30 and 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

Findings come from a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence per rule. There is no model in this path: the numbers are detected, ordered and worded by code, and every one of them prints the operation that produced it.

Next release #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

BTS Border Crossing Entry Data (monthly), expected between 2026-10-10 and 2026-10-30.

The window is approximate: the publisher has not posted a date for this release, so it is inferred from the cadence of previous ones.

The same brief, narrowed #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

A lens keeps the findings whose subject matches one reader's interest and hides the rest. Every lens brief points its canonical here.

Subscribe #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

The same findings as a feed. Entry ids are content hashes with no clock in them, so an unchanged finding is never sent twice.

Sources #

  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month
  • publishedQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    area 49003, all ownerships, all industries · period 2026-Q1 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • estimateZillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns
  • estimateQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household
  • publishedZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · period 2026-09 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • publishedZillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    County_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv · period 2026-09 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

Citations

  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: typical home value / (typical rent × 12); Zillow ZHVI over ZORI, same month.
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. series area 49003, all ownerships, all industries. period 2026-Q1. https://data.bls.gov/cew/data/api/2026/1/area/49003.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. https://www.bls.gov/cew/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). series County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. period 2026-09. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI). series County_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv. period 2026-09. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zori/County_zori_uc_sfrcondomfr_sm_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%).

What these numbers are not

  • The newest BLS QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, only the over-the-year percent change BLS publishes itself. Every employment and wage comparison here states that published change; none of them is a move from one level to another, because the two levels are not both in the file.
  • A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank across the entities that published the metric this period: the smallest published value scores 0 and the largest scores 100. It is not the share of entities below the value, and entities that did not publish the metric are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
  • The named indicators shown beside this brief are national or basin-level series, not measurements of Box Elder County, UT; 30-year fixed mortgage rate (watch), Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual (watch), Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate (watch) and WTI crude oil, spot (watch) are at a watch or alert level. They are context.
  • Water rows are everything within 75 km of this place's internal point (150 km for reservoirs), not everything inside its boundary: lib/water searches discs, and every row prints its own distance.
  • Server report: satellite turbidity is only computed in a browser, so that term is absent here.
  • Stress uses 2 of 4 terms (drought, quality); missing terms are left out, not assumed.
  • Groundwater has no trend term: one latest level cannot say whether an aquifer is being drawn down.
  • Obligations are what agencies committed in FY2026 by place of performance: not outlays, and not the recipient's own location.
  • FY2026 closed 19 days ago; agencies report with up to a 45-day lag, so totals are still filling in.
  • The indicator block is the NATIONAL set, filtered only by lens. None of these series is keyed to this place: they are United States, gauge, single-state or port series and they are shown as context, not as this place's own readings.

Page assembled 2026-10-19T23:25:51.405Z. Place identity tables pulled 2026-10-01.