Page County, VA
Housing, jobs, water, deposits and federal obligations for this county, each figure with the release it came from. Internal point 38.62, -78.49.
Assembled 2026-10-19. Read the brief.
- 72nd pct · 851st of 3,063 US counties · median $230,451
- 51st pct · 65th of 133 Virginia counties · median $309,231
- 71st pct · 877th of 3,062 US counties · median +2.9%
- 78th pct · 29th of 133 Virginia counties · median +2.8%
- US counties: not published this period
- Virginia counties: not published this period
- 38th pct · 1,982nd of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 35th pct · 86th of 133 Virginia counties · median 9,944
- 14th pct · 2,744th of 3,221 US counties · median $1,039
- 12th pct · 117th of 133 Virginia counties · median $1,048
- 87th pct · 383rd of 3,063 US counties · median 4.2
- 73rd pct · 36th of 133 Virginia counties · median 5.4
Typical home value divided by the average annual wage of one covered job.
A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank: the smallest published value in the cohort is 0 and the largest is 100, and tied values share the average of the ranks they span. It is not the share of entities below the value, so 0 means smallest, not none below. Entities that did not publish the metric are outside the cohort entirely and are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
Home values #
Typical home $310,702 (Sep 2026), +4.7% over one year, +30.6% over five
- 72nd pct · 851st of 3,063 US counties · median $230,451
- 51st pct · 65th of 133 Virginia counties · median $309,231
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Page County, VA | $310,702 · +4.7% 1-yr |
Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), typical value of homes in the 35th to 65th percentile, smoothed and seasonally adjusted; a model estimate of value, not a sale price. Data through Zillow Research.
Rents #
Zillow publishes no rent index for this area (ZORI covers about 1,400 counties)
- US counties: not published this period
- Virginia counties: not published this period
Zillow Observed Rent Index (ZORI), smoothed, all homes and multifamily; price-to-rent = typical home / (typical rent × 12).
What the typical home costs to carry #
Principal and interest of $1,721 a month on $310,702 at 7.40%, against an average weekly wage worth $3,783 a month: 45.5% of one job’s pay.
- payment = P·r / (1 − (1+r)^−n), P = $310,702 × 80% = $248,562, r = 7.40%/12 (Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED, 2026-10-15), n = 360 → $1,721/mo principal and interest
- wage share = payment / (avg weekly wage $873 × 52 / 12 = $3,783) = 45% of one average job's pay (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all covered jobs)
- years of wages = $310,702 / ($873 × 52) = 6.8
The wage is one covered job’s average, not a household’s income, so this is the share of a single paycheque and not a mortgage underwriting ratio.
Estimate. Principal and interest on the typical home with 20% down over 30 years at this week's Freddie Mac average rate; compared with the average weekly wage of all jobs covered by unemployment insurance in the area (BLS QCEW), which is pay per job, not household income.
Jobs & wages #
5,268 jobs at 615 employers (2026 Q1); -1.5% jobs and +1.9% average weekly wage over the year
- 38th pct · 1,982nd of 3,221 US counties · median 8,232
- 35th pct · 86th of 133 Virginia counties · median 9,944
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Page County, VA | 5,268 jobs · $873/wk · -1.5% YoY |
| NAICS sector | Jobs | Avg weekly wage | Location quotient | Jobs over the year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade | 811 | $602 | 1.58 | +6.4% |
| Health care and social assistance | 676 | $860 | 0.85 | +0.0% |
| Manufacturing | 603 | $1,071 | 1.42 | -4.6% |
| Accommodation and food services | 482 | $421 | 1.02 | -10.2% |
| Administrative and waste services | 259 | $912 | 0.86 | +0.0% |
| Professional and technical services | 257 | $1,299 | 0.71 | -6.5% |
| Arts, entertainment and recreation | 194 | $611 | 2.24 | -2.0% |
| Other services | 145 | $652 | 0.92 | -4.6% |
| Finance and insurance | 139 | $1,480 | 0.65 | -16.8% |
| Transportation and warehousing | 25 | $814 | 0.11 | -7.4% |
| Real estate and rental | 20 | $676 | 0.25 | -13.0% |
| Agriculture, forestry, fishing | withheld |
BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages, all ownerships, total covered employment in the quarter's third month; over-the-year changes as published. Suppressed cells stay blank.
Drought #
D0 abnormally dry
Sites found: 5, searched within 0 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 0 km away are not.
US Drought Monitor current week; the highest class of any polygon containing the point.
Reservoirs #
3 USGS reservoir gauges, no capacity figures to weight
Sites found: 3, searched within 150 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 150 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| JENNINGS RANDOLPH LAKE NEAR ELK GARDEN, WV | 1,460 ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 105 km |
| SAVAGE RIVER RESERVOIR NEAR BLOOMINGTON, MD | 1,447 ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 113 km |
| DEEP CREEK LAKE NEAR THAYERVILLE, MD | 2,458 ft (USGS, no capacity on file) | 121 km |
Σ(capacity × percent full) / Σ capacity over TWDB reservoirs within 150 km. Texas only; elsewhere USGS reservoir elevation/storage is listed without a capacity to normalise by.
Stream gauges #
113 gauges · 0 flooding · 31 with quality panels averaging 100 % · 35 stale
Sites found: 113, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| MILL CREEK NEAR LURAY, VA | stage 3.80 ft · quality 100 % (1) · STALE | 4 km |
| S F SHENANDOAH RIVER NEAR LURAY, VA | flow 541.0 ft³/s · no flooding | 5 km |
| Unnamed Tributary above Lake Morning Star Dam | observation not current | 11 km |
| SMITH CREEK NEAR NEW MARKET, VA | flow 33.2 ft³/s · quality 100 % (5) · no flooding | 15 km |
| N F SHENANDOAH RIVER AT MOUNT JACKSON, VA | flow 263.0 ft³/s · quality 100 % (5) · no flooding | 19 km |
| WAR BRANCH BELOW TRIB NEAR TENTH LEGION, VA | flow 3.26 ft³/s · quality 100 % (5) | 20 km |
| Naked Creek near Furnace | no readings | 20 km |
| HOLMANS CREEK AT QUICKSBURG, VA | stage 3.73 ft · quality 100 % (1) · STALE | 21 km |
| Thornton River at Sperryville | out of service | 22 km |
| Robinson River at Quaker Run Road | no flooding | 23 km |
USGS latest readings screened against EPA freshwater criteria (DO ≥ 5 mg/L, pH 6.5–9, conductance, turbidity, temperature); NWS flood categories where a NWPS gauge is co-located.
Groundwater #
32 wells in 0 named aquifers:
Sites found: 32, searched within 75 km of this place’s internal point. That is a disc around a point, not the area itself: sites outside the boundary are included, and sites inside it further than 75 km away are not.
| Site | Reading | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| USGS-384011078282201 | depth 150.6 ft · 2026-10-18 | 5 km |
| USGS-384239078092901 | depth 25.3 ft · 2026-10-18 | 31 km |
| USGS-385140078163401 | depth 39.3 ft · 2026-10-18 | 32 km |
| USGS-384821078472301 | depth 12.3 ft · 2026-10-18 | 33 km |
| USGS-382150078424001 | depth 80.3 ft · 2026-10-19 | 35 km |
| USGS-385602078271201 | depth 61.5 ft · 2026-10-18 | 35 km |
| USGS-382753078513301 | depth 15.9 ft · 2026-10-18 | 36 km |
| USGS-383152078570902 | level 1,513 ft · 1997-09-29 | 41 km |
USGS latest daily water levels. A single latest reading says where the table is, not which way it is moving; select a well for its 365-day trace.
Water stress #
low (0.00)
Σ wᵢ·termᵢ / Σ wᵢ = 0.35×0.00 + 0.2×0.00 / 0.55
Banks & federal dollars #
$557.6 m in deposits at 6 offices of 3 banks (SOD June 2026); HHI 3,725, highly concentrated. $243.4 m federal obligations in FY2026 (direct payments $164.4 m, contracts $77.2 m), $46,212 per covered job
| Item | Value | Distance |
|---|---|---|
| Blue Ridge Bank, National Association | $232.2 m · 41.6% share · 2 offices | |
| Pioneer Bank | $229.6 m · 41.2% share · 3 offices | |
| Truist Bank | $95.8 m · 17.2% share · 1 office | |
| Page, VA | $243.4 m FY2026 · $46,212/job | |
| MULTIPLE RECIPIENTS | $162.7 m · top recipient FY2026 |
| Institution | Deposits | Share | Offices |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Ridge Bank, National Association | $232,209,000 | 41.6% | 2 |
| Pioneer Bank | $229,552,000 | 41.2% | 3 |
| Truist Bank | $95,790,000 | 17.2% | 1 |
Deposit concentration is 3,725 across 3 banks, which the 1995 Department of Justice bank merger screen calls highly concentrated.
HHI = Σ (share %)² over 3 banks with deposits in the county = 41.6² + 41.2² + 17.2² = 3,725
FDIC Summary of Deposits: deposits at every insured office as of June 30, annual; HHI is the sum of squared county deposit shares (DOJ 1995 bank merger screen: 1000 / 1800). USAspending: obligations by place of performance for the latest complete federal fiscal year (Oct 1 to Sep 30), what agencies committed, not what they paid out; recipients are legal entities. Per-job divides obligations by BLS QCEW covered employment.
Federal obligations #
USAspending place-of-performance obligations for FY2026, by awarding agency.
| Awarding agency | Obligations |
|---|---|
| Social Security Administration | $145,934,041 |
| Department of Homeland Security | $21,008,586 |
| Department of Justice | $19,562,337 |
| Department of Agriculture | $17,457,572 |
| Department of Veterans Affairs | $14,363,618 |
| National Aeronautics and Space Administration | $4,760,769 |
| Department of Education | $4,171,788 |
| Department of the Interior | $2,784,346 |
| Railroad Retirement Board | $2,544,492 |
| Department of the Treasury | $2,348,276 |
| Department of Transportation | $2,237,027 |
| Department of Health and Human Services | $1,696,290 |
That is $46,212 per covered job, against 5,268 jobs in the 2026 Q1 QCEW quarter.
per job = FY2026 obligations $243.4 m / 5,268 covered jobs (BLS QCEW 2026 Q1, all ownerships) = $46,212
USAspending obligations are recorded where the work is performed, so a prime award performed here is counted here even when the recipient is headquartered elsewhere. Recipients are legal entities, never people.
National context, not this county #
These are United States, single-gauge, single-state and port series. None of them is keyed to this county.
| Series | Latest | As of | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi River at Memphis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Mississippi River at St. Louis, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Ohio River at Louisville, stage · ft | 17.95 | 2026-10-18 | -2.6% |
| Missouri River at St. Joseph, stage · ft | not published | not published | |
| Colorado River below Hoover Dam, flow (Hoover releases) · ft³/s | 5,170.00 | 2026-02-05 | -25.3% |
| Texas reservoirs, statewide percent full · % | 72.20 | 2026-10-19 | +0.0% |
| Laredo truck crossings, monthly · trucks | 258,700.00 | 2026-08-01 | -0.4% |
| Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual · TEU | 10,513,167.00 | 2023-01-01 | -13.5% |
| Containerships waiting for a berth, all US ports · ships | 7.00 | 2026-10-13 | +133.3% |
| Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate · $ per 40 ft box | 7,848.00 | 2026-09-01 | +14.9% |
| US diesel retail price · $ per gallon | unavailable | not published | |
| WTI crude oil, spot · $ per barrel | 101.91 | 2026-10-14 | +1.0% |
| 30-year fixed mortgage rate · % | 7.40 | 2026-10-15 | +0.0% |
| Housing starts, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,275.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.6% |
| Building permits, annual rate · thousands of units | 1,403.00 | 2026-08-01 | -2.1% |
| Case-Shiller US home price index · index, Jan 2000 = 100 | 337.31 | 2026-07-01 | +0.1% |
| Unemployment rate · % | 4.20 | 2026-09-01 | +2.4% |
| US goods and services trade balance, monthly · $ millions | -105,572.00 | 2026-08-01 | -13.7% |
| Retail sales excluding food services, monthly · $ millions | 652,115.00 | 2026-09-01 | +0.7% |
The indicator registry has no county-keyed series and no geographic selection: every entry is national, a named gauge, a single state or a port. They are here as the backdrop the county's own numbers move against, and they are never this county's readings.
What changed #
Page County, VA: 6 findings, 1 at a watch level and 5 noted
watchPage County, VA's covered employment is -1.5% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- test: jobs.yoy.emp = -1.5 < 0
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level
notePage County, VA's average weekly wage was 1.9% higher than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- +1.9 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
notePage County, VA's covered employment was 1.5% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.
Period 2026 Q1.Show the arithmetic
- -1.5 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
- the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed
BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published
notePage County, VA's typical home value rose 0.5% from $309,070 in August 2026 to $310,702 in September 2026, on Zillow ZHVI.
Period 2026-09.Show the arithmetic
- +0.5% = (310702.1814254953 - 309069.7595119034) / 309069.7595119034 × 100
- 310702.1814254953 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-09
- 309069.7595119034 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-08
noteThe next Unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, monthly) covering Page County, VA is due between 2026-10-30 and 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.
Show the arithmetic
- window = 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern
estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date
Read all 6 findings in the full brief
Every finding is produced by a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence for each rule. Nothing here is generated prose.