Union County, IL: 13 findings, 1 at an alert level, 4 at a watch level and 8 noted

13 findings fired for Union County, IL this run, against a typical home value of $150,664 in September 2026 and covered employment of 5,079 in 2026 Q1. 1 further finding is not listed here.

Rules version 1. Assembled 2026-10-19. Back to Union County, IL.

12 findings #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

  1. alertUnion County, IL's covered employment is -3.1% against a year earlier, an alert level here: covered employment at least 3 percent below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -3.1 <= -3

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  2. watchUnion County, IL's average weekly wage is -4.2% against a year earlier, a watch level here: average weekly wage below the same quarter a year earlier, before inflation (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published, nominal dollars; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: jobs.yoy.avgWeeklyWage = -4.2 < 0

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published, nominal dollars; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  3. watchUnion County, IL's covered employment is -3.1% against a year earlier, a watch level here: covered employment below the same quarter a year earlier (BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: jobs.yoy.emp = -3.1 < 0

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published; not an official level

  4. watchUnion County, IL's momentum index is -0.55, a watch level here: momentum index in the cooling band (the cooling band of the momentum index computed here, score at or below -0.25; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level). The previous published period is not in this table, so this is a standing level rather than a change.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • test: momentum = -0.5503253531361442 <= -0.25
    • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

    the cooling band of the momentum index computed here, score at or below -0.25; convention chosen for this dashboard, not an official level

  5. watchUnion County, IL's years of wages of 3.3 scores 29 on the 0-to-100 scale across US counties but 74 across Illinois counties, a gap of 45 points.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 45 = |29 across US counties - 74 across Illinois counties|
    • typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  6. noteUnion County, IL's average weekly wage was 4.2% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -4.2 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
    • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

  7. noteUnion County, IL's covered employment was 3.1% lower than the same quarter a year earlier in 2026 Q1, on BLS QCEW's published over-the-year change.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -3.1 % = BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change for 2026 Q1, as published
    • the newest QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, so no move from one level to another is printed

    BLS QCEW over-the-year percent change, as published

  8. noteUnion County, IL's typical home value fell 0.4% from $151,280 in August 2026 to $150,664 in September 2026, on Zillow ZHVI.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • -0.4% = (150663.58812430906 - 151279.84879035954) / 151279.84879035954 × 100
    • 150663.58812430906 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-09
    • 151279.84879035954 = Zillow ZHVI, 2026-08

  9. noteUnion County, IL's momentum index of -0.55 ranks 3,198th of 3,221 US counties, against a median of 0.23.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 1 on the 0-to-100 scale across 3221 US counties that published momentum
    • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  10. noteUnion County, IL's momentum index of -0.55 ranks 101st of 102 Illinois counties, against a median of 0.20.

    Period 2026-09.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 1 on the 0-to-100 scale across 102 Illinois counties that published momentum
    • momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  11. noteUnion County, IL's average weekly wage of $870 ranks 97th of 102 Illinois counties, against a median of $1,061.

    Period 2026 Q1.
    Show the arithmetic
    • 5 on the 0-to-100 scale across 102 Illinois counties that published jobs.avgWeeklyWage

    position among the entities that published this metric this period; not an official level

  12. noteThe next Unemployment rate (BLS Employment Situation, monthly) covering Union County, IL is due between 2026-10-30 and 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern.

    Show the arithmetic
    • window = 2026-10-30 to 2026-11-13, estimated from the publisher's past release pattern

    estimated from the publisher's past release pattern; not an announced date

Findings come from a fixed rule table and a fixed sentence per rule. There is no model in this path: the numbers are detected, ordered and worded by code, and every one of them prints the operation that produced it.

Next release #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

BTS Border Crossing Entry Data (monthly), expected between 2026-10-10 and 2026-10-30.

The window is approximate: the publisher has not posted a date for this release, so it is inferred from the cadence of previous ones.

The same brief, narrowed #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

A lens keeps the findings whose subject matches one reader's interest and hides the rest. Every lens brief points its canonical here.

Subscribe #

currentretrieved 2026-10-19

The same findings as a feed. Entry ids are content hashes with no clock in them, so an unchanged finding is never sent twice.

Sources #

  • publishedQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    area 17181, all ownerships, all industries · period 2026-Q1 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%)
  • estimateQuarterly Census of Employment and WagesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statisticsopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household
  • publishedZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv · period 2026-09 · retrieved 2026-10-19
  • estimateZillow Home Value Index (ZHVI)Zillow Researchopen the source
    · retrieved 2026-10-19 · month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns

Citations

  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. series area 17181, all ownerships, all industries. period 2026-Q1. https://data.bls.gov/cew/data/api/2026/1/area/17181.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: momentum = Σ wᵢ · clip(changeᵢ / scaleᵢ, −1, 1) / Σ wᵢ over the terms present; weights and scales: home value 1-yr change 0.3 (±10%), rent 1-yr change 0.15 (±10%), jobs over-the-year change 0.3 (±3%), avg weekly wage over-the-year change 0.25 (±6%).
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages. https://www.bls.gov/cew/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: typical home value / (average weekly wage × 52); one average covered job, not a household.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). series County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. period 2026-09. https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/County_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv. accessed 2026-10-19.
  • Zillow Research. Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI). https://www.zillow.com/research/data/. accessed 2026-10-19. estimate computed by Embedding Atlas: month-over-month percent change = (newest month − previous month) / |previous month| × 100, from Zillow's own published month columns.

What these numbers are not

  • The newest BLS QCEW file carries no year-earlier level, only the over-the-year percent change BLS publishes itself. Every employment and wage comparison here states that published change; none of them is a move from one level to another, because the two levels are not both in the file.
  • A percentile here is a min-max scaling of average rank across the entities that published the metric this period: the smallest published value scores 0 and the largest scores 100. It is not the share of entities below the value, and entities that did not publish the metric are counted in neither the rank nor its denominator.
  • The named indicators shown beside this brief are national or basin-level series, not measurements of Union County, IL; 30-year fixed mortgage rate (watch), Los Angeles + Long Beach container volume, annual (watch), Shanghai to Los Angeles container rate (watch) and WTI crude oil, spot (watch) are at a watch or alert level. They are context.
  • Water rows are everything within 75 km of this place's internal point (150 km for reservoirs), not everything inside its boundary: lib/water searches discs, and every row prints its own distance.
  • Server report: satellite turbidity is only computed in a browser, so that term is absent here.
  • USGS gauges did not answer.
  • USGS wells did not answer.
  • Stress uses 1 of 4 terms (drought); missing terms are left out, not assumed.
  • Groundwater has no trend term: one latest level cannot say whether an aquifer is being drawn down.
  • Obligations are what agencies committed in FY2026 by place of performance: not outlays, and not the recipient's own location.
  • FY2026 closed 19 days ago; agencies report with up to a 45-day lag, so totals are still filling in.
  • The indicator block is the NATIONAL set, filtered only by lens. None of these series is keyed to this place: they are United States, gauge, single-state or port series and they are shown as context, not as this place's own readings.

Page assembled 2026-10-19T19:47:39.684Z. Place identity tables pulled 2026-10-01.